Sentinel
Setup
1 of 4

Where are you based?

Select all that apply. If you invest across multiple countries pick them all — Sentinel badges platforms by region, it never restricts your options.

2 of 4

Do you already invest somewhere?

Connect now, choose later, or just watch signals first.

3 of 4

What do you want access to?

Pick the markets Sentinel should route clearly.

You can change this anytime in Access.
4 of 4

Ready.

Sentinel will keep the main signal page clean and only show access when it matters.

AvailableStocks & ETFsRoute through a global broker.
ReviewCommoditiesHigher-risk route. Manual confirmation only.
OptionalCryptoAdd an exchange later if needed.
Last scan · just now

One candidate signal. Risk first.

Draft only · no auto-execution
Next scan in 30s · market news, price action, prediction markets, portfolio drift
Market situation
Energy disruption risk has moved from headline risk into tradable market behaviour.
High volatility
📡
What changed: shipping and escalation commentary have strengthened the supply-risk narrative.
Live
🛢
Market confirmation: crude has started reacting, but the move may already include fear premium.
Check
🧯
Risk: de-escalation, OPEC supply response, or a fast reversal can invalidate the setup quickly.
Breaks
Candidate signal
Crude oil exposure — short-term setup
Prepared for review. It is not an instruction to buy.
High-risk
Prediction-market anchor Polymarket contract: “Will Brent crude exceed $100 before month end?” Market-implied probability shown in prototype: 64%, up from 41%. Treat this as one input, not truth.
Why it may workSupply fear continues repricing, crude follows the narrative, and the setup resolves before broader markets fully adjust.
Why it may failThe move is a short fear spike. Rhetoric softens, ceasefire language improves, or price action reverses before entry.
💰
Sized to your balance — 2.5% of $6,370 available across CMC, CommSec and CoinSpot. Adjust in Policy.
$160
Draft amount
$160
2.5% of available cash
Max planned loss
$11
7% stop assumption
Window
2–5d
Not a core holding
Status
Draft
Manual broker confirmation
Access: connected route available via CMC Markets. Because this is commodity/CFD exposure, Sentinel keeps it as high-risk and shows alternatives before review.
Evidence quality
The signal cannot move to review unless supporting and disconfirming evidence both exist.
Mixed
Shipping-disruption warnings support the supply-risk case.
Supports
Oil price action has begun confirming the narrative.
Price
!
Counterpoint: probability markets can overreact to breaking news and are not a valuation model.
Counter
Manage access

Connect accounts and choose routes once. Signals stay uncluttered.

🌏 Region filter: Malaysia / global prototype
Current signal access
Crude oil exposure needs commodity access. Sentinel should never show a dead-end signal without an access path or alternative expression.
Commodity signal
Connected platform
CMC Markets · commodity CFD
Can express the signal, but this route requires CFD warnings, manual confirmation, and stop/slippage review.
Lower-complexity alternative
IBKR / Saxo · oil ETF, energy ETF, futures if eligible
Show these when the user does not want leveraged or derivative exposure.
!
If not connected
IG / CMC / OANDA / Saxo · country filtered
Offer account-opening options only after showing partner disclosure and country availability.
No-access fallback
Watchlist only
User can save the signal, set alerts, or pass. No pressure to open a platform.
Partner disclosure: Platform suggestions are ranked by user access, market coverage, risk fit, and region availability. Affiliate economics should be disclosed and not used to rank the signal itself.

Core investing access

For stocks, ETFs, global markets, and longer-horizon expressions.

Interactive BrokersGlobal core
SaxoPremium multi-asset
eToroBeginner-friendly

Trading access

For commodities, FX, indices, and higher-risk short-term macro signals.

CMC MarketsCFD route
IGCFD / FX
OANDAFX / CFD

Research & crypto access

For charting, alerts, crypto signals, and non-broker monetisation.

TradingViewCharts / alerts
KrakenCrypto
CoinbaseCrypto / retail
How this appears on Signals
Signals only show the active access status. Detailed setup stays here.
1
Classify the signal: stock, ETF, commodity, FX, crypto, futures, options, or watch-only.
2
Check connected access: does the user already have a usable platform and permission for this instrument?
3
Offer routes: connected platform first, safer alternative second, partner platform third, pass/watchlist always available.
4
Then review risk: only after access is clear does the user see the full risk-review ticket.
Capital constitution

The agent has rules before it has ideas.

Core capital

Long-term investing remains boring: broad exposure, DCA, and rebalancing. Sentinel may monitor and draft actions, not gamble with the core.

Rule: no single candidate signal may touch core allocation without explicit user override.

Sandbox

Short-term ideas live in a capped sandbox. The product optimises for controlled loss, not excitement.

Rule: per-signal allocation defaults to 2.5%; sandbox cap is 10% of available investable cash.

Execution

Sentinel drafts and stages. The broker executes only after the user confirms inside the broker environment.

Rule: no autonomous orders in this prototype.
SignalRisk reviewBroker handoff

Final risk check

Nothing executes here. This screen exists to slow the user down before the broker opens.

Draft order
Crude oil exposure · CMC Markets · short-term setup
Draft
Amount
$160
Stop
−7%
Planned loss
$11
Window
2–5d
CFDs and derivative exposure can produce fast losses. This prototype does not place trades, guarantee fills, or guarantee stop execution price.

Handoff staged

Open the broker, review the ticket, and decide manually. Sentinel will only monitor the thesis after that.

Post-signal monitoring

What would strengthen or break the thesis?

Only alert again if something material changes
The watchlist is thesis-based, not price-spam.
Stay constructive ifcrude holds bid, shipping risk worsens, and probability/volatility continue confirming disruption risk.
Exit / reassess ifcredible de-escalation appears, crude reverses sharply, or the prediction-market signal unwinds.
Monitoring triggers
🔔
Strengthens: probability rises above 72% while crude price confirms.
🔔
Weakens: probability falls below 50% or price breaks below stop zone.
🔔
Invalidates: ceasefire, shipping lane normalisation, or large gap against position.
Sentinel CanvasThesis map
Click canvas to add · drag purple handle to link
Drag from purple handle to another node, or click source then destination · Esc cancels
New to Canvas? Click How to use.
Map the thesis before capital moves.
Event → Evidence → Thesis → Asset → Breaks thesis → Draft action
Your track record

Every signal. Every outcome.

6 of 8 profitable
Total return
+$842
Across all closed signals since Jan 2025
Avg signal return
+18.4%
On signals where you said Yes
Win rate
6 / 8
75% of taken signals profitable
Signals passed
4
1 was a good pass (−4.2% after)
Connected accounts
$6,370 AUD
📈
CMC Markets
$1,500AUD
🏦
CommSec
$4,820AUD
CoinSpot
$50AUD
Guardrails
How signals are sized
Max per signal
2.5%= $159
Total sandbox cap
10%= $637
Execution
Manual
Auto-execute
Never
Signal history
All time
🛢
Crude Oil CFD
Feb 14 · $1,000 · CMC Markets
Took
+13.8%
Closed
💻
Nvidia (NVDA)
Jan 8 · $500 · Stake
Took
+31%
Closed
🥇
Gold ETF (ASX:GOLD)
Jan 19 · $750 · CommSec
Took
+4.2%
Open
🏦
ASX 200 (IVV)
Nov 30 · $800 · CommSec
Took
+8.3%
Closed
Ξ
Ethereum (ETH)
Dec 19 · Passed
Passed
+18%
Missed
🌿
Lithium ETF
Nov 12 · Passed
Passed
−4.2%
Good pass
Bitcoin (BTC)
Oct 5 · $300 · CoinSpot
Took
+22%
Closed
Tesla (TSLA)
Sep 18 · $400 · Stake
Took
−6.1%
Closed
Sentinel tracks every signal and outcome transparently — wins and losses.
Past signal performance is not predictive of future results. This is not financial advice.
Canvas demo
How to use Canvas
Event
Market event
Evidence
Supporting evidence
Thesis
Investment thesis
Do this: drag the purple arrow handle on a node, release it over the node you want to connect. No double-click required. You can also press Connect, click the source node, then click the destination node.